Isaac Possibly Heading Towards Boca Raton, World Not Ending

Isaac

The projected “cone” of Isaac as of 11a on Wednesday. Courtesy National Hurricane Center.

BOCA RATON, FL (BocaNewsNow.com) — We are not going to engage in the hype that our friends at local television stations, radio stations and newspapers will be bestowing upon all of us for the next several days, but you should be aware: there may be a strong storm heading our way.

What is now Tropical Storm Isaac is heading in our general direction, but may end up missing the Florida peninsula by diverging far to the east, or even slide to the west — entering the Gulf of Mexico.

If the storm impacts us, it will likely be Monday of next week.

While BocaNewsNow.com officially suggests that you have your hurricane gear and supplies ready, we are also encouraging everyone to take a deep breath and not panic. There is no need to spend hours at Publix, Home Depot, or Lowes.

The City of Boca Raton has updated its emergency preparedness website, which you can access here.

Boca’s official Hurricane Guide can be downloaded here.

The latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center is here.

Here is part of the 11am update from the National Hurricane Center:

THE INITIAL MOTION IS A SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN 280/15...AS IT IS UNCLEAR
HOW MUCH OF THE OBSERVED NORTHWARD NUDGE WAS DUE TO RE-FORMATION OF
THE CENTER. OTHER THAN THAT...THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE
PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK OR REASONING DURING THE FIRST 48-72 HR OF
THE TRACK FORECAST. THE EAST-WEST ORIENTED SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE
NORTH OF ISAAC ALONG 30N LATITUDE IS FORECAST BY ALL OF THE GLOBAL
MODELS TO REMAIN INTACT ACROSS FLORIDA AND THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S.
DURING THAT TIME.  THIS EARLY PART OF THE FORECAST TRACK IS AN
UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST.  AFTER THAT TIME...THE RIDGE IS
EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SOMEWHAT AS A MID/UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH MOVES ONTO
THE EASTERN UNITED STATES.  THE MODELS DIVERGE ON THEIR FORECASTS
OF THE RIDGE.  THE ECMWF DOES NOT BREAK THE RIDGE...AND THUS
FORECASTS A MORE WESTWARD MOTION NEAR OR SOUTH OF CUBA.  THE
CANADIAN AND NOGAPS HAVE A LARGE BREAK IN THE RIDGE AND TURN ISAAC
NORTHWARD EAST OF FLORIDA.  THE UKMET HAS A BREAK IN THE RIDGE OVER
THE NORTHERN GULF COAST AND MOVES THE CYCLONE OVER THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA.  THE GFS SHOWS A BREAK IN THE RIDGE EAST OF FLORIDA...
BUT FORECASTS ISAAC TO BYPASS THE BREAK AND MOVE NEAR THE SOUTHWEST
COAST OF FLORIDA.  THIS DECREASED-CONFIDENCE PORTION OF THE
FORECAST TRACK IS SHIFTED A LITTLE WEST OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK TO
LIE NEAR THE CONSENSUS MODELS.

 

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