But Will They Affect Florida? Watching…
BY: WEATHER TEAM | BocaNewsNow.com
UPDATE: 7PM Tropical Depression 12 was just “born.” It is the system closest to Africa.
BOCA RATON, FL (BocaNewsNow.com) (Copyright © 2022 MetroDesk Media, LLC) –. Two tropical waves are now expected to become depressions within days. But what happens after that remains to the seen. Early modeling indicates that neither will pose a direct threat to Florida. But, at least for the system now marked by the “red curve” above, it’s a little too close for comfort for those who watched Ian’s path. We remind our readers that an oval indicates where a system may form. A path projection is only initiated after a depression officially develops.
Here’s the Tuesday afternoon update from the National Hurricane Center.
Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 200 PM EDT Tue Oct 4 2022
For the North Atlantic… Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
- Eastern Tropical Atlantic: Satellite images indicate that the circulation associated with an area of low pressure located a few hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is becoming better defined, and the associated shower and thunderstorm activity has become more concentrated near the low’s center. A short-lived tropical depression is likely to form later today or tonight before upper-level winds increase and become too hostile for further development on Wednesday. The low is forecast to move northwestward at about 10 mph over the eastern tropical Atlantic during the next couple of days.
- Formation chance through 48 hours…high…80 percent.
- Formation chance through 5 days…high…80 percent.
- East of the Windward Islands: A broad area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles east of the southern Windward Islands is producing an area of showers and thunderstorms to the southeast of an ill-defined center. Upper-level winds are likely to become more conducive for development, and a tropical depression could form during the next couple of days, if the system stays far enough away from land while moving westward at about 15 mph across the Windward Islands and southeastern Caribbean Sea. Conditions appear to become more conducive for development later this week when the system reaches the central and western Caribbean Sea. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are expected over portions of the Windward Islands tonight and Wednesday. Interests in the Windward Islands, the ABC Islands, and the northern coast of Venezuela should monitor the progress of this system. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is currently investigating this system.
- Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…40 percent.
- Formation chance through 5 days…high…70 percent.
