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NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER: System In Gulf Is Developing

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NOW 50 PERCENT CHANCE…

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The National Hurricane Center now says there’s a 50 percent chance of the system in the Gulf forming into a depression over next 48 hours. (NHC).

BY: WEATHER TEAM | BocaNewsNow.com

BOCA RATON, FL (BocaNewsNow.com) (Copyright © 2023 MetroDesk Media, LLC) — The National Hurricane Center at 8 a.m. Thursday raised the development chance for the system in the Gulf to 50 percent over the next 48 hours.

Here is the official advisory: For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Northeastern Gulf of Mexico (AL91): Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico have increased and become better organized during the overnight hours.

Environmental conditions appear marginally favorable for additional development over the next day or so, and a short-lived tropical depression or storm could form over that time span as the system meanders over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico. However, by this weekend environmental conditions are forecast to become unfavorable for additional development as the system drifts southward, likely remaining offshore over the Gulf of Mexico.

An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system later today, if necessary. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall could occur over portions of the Florida Peninsula through this weekend. Additional information on the rainfall and flooding potential can be found in products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office and Excessive Rainfall Outlooks issued by the Weather Prediction Center.

Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…50 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days…medium…50 percent. Today marks the first day of the Atlantic hurricane season, which will run until November 30. The long-term averages for the number of named storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes are 14, 7, and 3, respectively.

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