AFTERNOON UPDATE: Now 90 Percent Chance Of Development.
BY: WEATHER TEAM | BocaNewsNow.com
BOCA RATON, FL (BocaNewsNow.com) (Copyright © 2023 MetroDesk Media, LLC) (Updated 8p) — The red oval above is likely to become a tropical depression this week and is notably in a location that may be a problem for South Florida. The National Hurricane Center Sunday evening says there’s a 90-percent chance that the depression forms somewhere in the area of the red oval. While the oval indicates where a system may develop — and not necessarily a direction of travel — it is notable that this system does not appear poised to move to the north as other developing systems have this season.
From the National Hurricane Center:
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sun Sep 3 2023
For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Gert, located over the central subtropical Atlantic, and
Tropical Storm Katia, located over the eastern subtropical Atlantic.
1. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL95):
Showers and thunderstorms are showing signs of organization in
association with a tropical wave located several hundred miles
southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are
forecast to be conducive for further development, and this system is
expected to become a tropical depression in two or three days.
Additional strengthening is likely late this week while the system
moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph over the
central and western portions of the tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…high…90 percent.
2. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave over western Africa is forecast to move offshore in
a couple of days. Environmental conditions could support some slow
development starting midweek while the wave moves to the west-
northwest at about 15 mph over the far eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…low…30 percent.
Forecaster Cangialosi
