Mid-November Heating Up, Season Ends In Two Weeks…

BY: WEATHER TEAM | BocaNewsNow.com
BOCA RATON, FL (BocaNewsNow.com) (Copyright © 2023 MetroDesk Media, LLC) — The National Hurricane Center says there are now two systems developing south and east of Florida — rare but not unprecedented as we enter the final two weeks of the hurricane season.
The following is the Tuesday evening update from the National Hurricane Center:
Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 700 PM EST Tue Nov 14 2023
For the North Atlantic… Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. Southwestern Caribbean Sea: A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the southwestern Caribbean Sea is associated with a broad trough of low pressure. Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for development of this system, and a tropical depression could form late this week while the system begins moving northeastward across the western and central portions of the Caribbean Sea. Interests in Jamaica, Cuba, Haiti, the Dominican Republic, the southeastern Bahamas, and the Turks and Caicos Islands should monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of development, this system has the potential to produce heavy rains over portions of the Caribbean coast of Central America and the Greater Antilles through the end of this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…30 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days…medium…60 percent.
2. Offshore Southeast Coast of United States: An area of low pressure is expected to develop near southern Florida in a day or so. This system is then forecast to move northeastward near the Bahamas and offshore of the east coast of the U. S. late this week and over the weekend. Although development into a tropical cyclone appears unlikely, this system is expected to produce gusty winds and heavy rains across portions of southern Florida, the Florida Keys, and the Bahamas during the next couple of days. For more information on this system, including gale warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days…low…10 percent.

