UPDATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON: Chances Increasing For Both Systems Watched By Hurricane Forecasters.
BY: WEATHER TEAM | BocaNewsNow.com
UPDATED — 4:35 p.m. Sunday
BOCA RATON, FL (BocaNewsNow.com) (Copyright © 2024 MetroDesk Media, LLC) — A new system may be forming east of Florida, according to forecasters at the National Hurricane Center. While it’s too early to predict whether conditions will remain favorable for development, the NHC has outlined an area that spans much of Florida’s east coast. There’s no need to panic, but this is a good reason to make sure that your hurricane plan is updated and that your supplies are restocked.
Here is the Sunday afternoon update from the National Hurricane Center, which also includes an update on the system growing in the Gulf.
Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024. For the North Atlantic… Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
- A large area of disturbed weather is located over Central America, the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico, and the adjacent waters of the northwestern Caribbean Sea. A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form from this system over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico on Monday or Tuesday. Environmental conditions appear conducive for subsequent gradual development of the low, and a tropical depression or tropical storm could form by midweek while it moves slowly westward or west-northwestward.
Regardless of development, several days of heavy rainfall are expected across portions of southern Mexico and Central America, and these rains are likely to cause life-threatening flooding and flash flooding. Locally heavy rainfall is also expected to spread over portions of the northwestern coast of the Gulf of Mexico by the middle of the week. In addition, gale warnings have been issued for portions of the Gulf of Mexico, and more information on these is available in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
- Formation chance through 48 hours…low…30 percent.
- Formation chance through 7 days…high…70 percent.
- Southwestern Atlantic Ocean: A trough or an area of low pressure is forecast to form by midweek a few hundred miles northeast of the central Bahamas. Environmental conditions could be conducive for some development of this system thereafter while it moves westward or west-northwestward.
- Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
- Formation chance through 7 days…low…30 percent.
