BY: WEATHER TEAM | BocaNewsNow.com
BOCA RATON, FL (BocaNewsNow.com) (Copyright © 2024 MetroDesk Media, LLC) — It’s Hurricane Season. The National Hurricane Center is now monitoring two systems of note. The system in the Gulf of Mexico, west of Florida, has a 70-percent chance of formation within the next two days. A system east of Florida is being closely watched and could develop into something of concern over the next several days. BocaNewsNow.com is publishing the Monday afternoon update from the NHC:
Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Mon Jun 17 2024. For the North Atlantic… Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
- Satellite and surface observations indicate that a broad area of low pressure is located over the Bay of Campeche with winds of 35-40 mph occurring in an area well to the northeast of the center over the southern Gulf of Mexico. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to form by midweek while the low moves slowly west-northwestward toward the western Gulf coast.
Regardless of development, several more days of heavy rainfall are expected across portions of southern Mexico and Central America, and these rains are likely to cause life-threatening flooding and flash flooding. Locally heavy rainfall is also expected to spread over portions of Texas and Louisiana by the middle of the week. In addition, gale warnings have been issued for portions of the Gulf of Mexico, and more information on those warnings is available in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. Interests along the western and northwestern Gulf coasts should monitor the progress of this system, as tropical storm watches and warnings may be required for portions of this area later this afternoon or tonight. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is currently en route to investigate the system.
- Formation chance through 48 hours…high…70 percent.
- Formation chance through 7 days…high…70 percent.
- Southwestern Atlantic Ocean: An area of cloudiness and thunderstorms located several hundred miles east of the Bahamas is associated with a surface trough and an upper-level area of low pressure. Environmental conditions could be conducive for some development of this system during the next few days while it moves westward or west-northwestward. The system is forecast to approach the coast of the southeast United States on Thursday or Friday.
- Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent.
- Formation chance through 7 days…low…30 percent.
