At Least 70 Percent Chance Depression Forms Within Week…

BOCA RATON, FL (BocaNewsNow.com) (Copyright © 2025 MetroDesk Media, LLC) — That tropical wave that wasn’t much of anything for a few days is now expected to become a tropical depression within a week. The National Hurricane Center Tuesday says the system continues to develop as it heads east. While we remind readers that an oval represents where a system may form and not necessarily a direction of travel, forecasters do say that the system is likely to move west and then northwest. Here is the Tuesday afternoon update from the NHC, as transmitted to BocaNewsNow.com:
Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
For the North Atlantic… Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico (America):
Eastern Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave is located over the far eastern tropical Atlantic southwest of the Cabo Verde islands and continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions remain conducive for gradual development of this system during the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this week or this weekend. This system is expected to initially move slowly westward and then gradually accelerate westward to west-northwestward at around 15 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic into early next week.
- Formation chance through 48 hours…low…30 percent.
- Formation chance through 7 days…high…70 percent.
ALL TROPICAL WAVES
The axis of a tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic is along 26.5W, from 18N southward, moving toward the west around 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is occurring from 08N to 14N between 26N and 36W. Environmental conditions remain conducive for gradual development of this system during the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this week or this weekend. This system is expected to initially move slowly westward and then gradually accelerate westward to west- northwestward at around 15 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic into early next week. There is a low chance of tropical formation within the next 48 hours, and a high chance within the next 7 days. Refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at http://www.hurricanes.gov for more details.
The axis of a tropical wave in the central Atlantic is along 54W, from 19N southward, moving toward the west around 15 to 20 kt.
Scattered moderate convection is occurring from 07N to 13N between 48W and 62W.
The axis of a tropical wave in the far western Caribbean is along 87W/88W from 19N southward, moving toward the west around 10 to 15 kt. No significant convection is occurring near this wave in the Caribbean at this time.

