BOCA RATON, FL (BocaNewsNow.com) (Copyright © 2025 MetroDesk Media, LLC) — The system just east of the Florida coast may lead to heavy rain and flash flooding over the next few days in South Florida, as another system to the east and now one in the Gulf of Mexico continue to develop. This is the Saturday morning update from the National Hurricane Center, as published by BocaNewsNow.com:
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Oct 4 2025
For the North Atlantic… Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico (America):
Bahamas and Southern Florida: A weak area of low pressure located near the northwestern Bahamas continues to produce disorganized shower activity. This system is expected to drift west-northwestward across the northwestern Bahamas and toward southern Florida during the next day or two, however development is not expected due to strong upper-level winds. Heavy rainfall could lead to flash flooding across portions of the east coast of Florida and the northwestern Bahamas during the next few days.
- Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
- Formation chance through 7 days…low…near 0 percent.
North-Central Gulf: A weak area of low pressure has formed over the north-central Gulf and is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms off the coasts of Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama. This system is expected to move slowly northwestward during the next day or two, reaching the coast of Texas by Monday. Development of this system is not expected due to strong upper-level winds.
- Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
- Formation chance through 7 days…low…near 0 percent.
Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave between the west coast of Africa and Cabo Verde Islands is producing a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development of the wave is possible over the next few days, and it could become a tropical depression by the middle to latter part of next week while moving across the central tropical Atlantic and approaching portions of the Leeward Islands.
- Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
- Formation chance through 7 days…medium…50 percent.
