”Medium” Chance As Of Sunday Morning That System Forms Within Days.
BOCA RATON, FL (BocaNewsNow.com) (Copyright © 2025 MetroDesk Media, LLC) — The red oval on the National Hurricane Center tracking map for Sunday shows where a tropical depression is likely to form over the next several days. While it’s too early for specific tracking information, the system — if it does develop — is expected to move towards Florida. Here’s the update to BocaNewsNow.com from the NHC:
000
ABNT20 KNHC 051138
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025
For the North Atlantic… Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexcio (America):
Tropical Atlantic (AL95): A broad area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms several hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions appear conducive for additional development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form this week as the system moves quickly across the central tropical Atlantic, approaching portions of the Leeward Islands by the latter part of this week. * Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…40 percent.
- Formation chance through 7 days…high…70 percent.
North-Central Gulf: A weak area of low pressure located over the north-central Gulf is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms near the coasts of Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama. This system is expected to move slowly northwestward during the next day or two, reaching the coast of Texas by Monday. Development of this system is not expected due to strong upper-level winds.
- Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
- Formation chance through 7 days…low…near 0 percent.
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Forecaster Papin
