Now 90 Percent Chance Says National Hurricane Center.
BOCA RATON, FL (BocaNewsNow.com) (Copyright © 2025 MetroDesk Media, LLC) — The system developing east of Florida, and marked by the red oval (above), is almost certainly going to become a tropical depression. The National Hurricane Center issued this update early Tuesday:
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025
For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico (America):
Central Tropical Atlantic (AL95): Satellite-derived wind data indicate an area of low pressure located about 1500 miles east of the Windward Islands is becoming better defined. The associated shower and thunderstorm activity is showing signs of organization, and environmental conditions appear favorable for continued development of this system. A tropical depression or storm is likely to form in the next day or so while it moves quickly west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic. This system is expected to be near or north of the northern Leeward Islands on Thursday and Friday, and interests there should continue to monitor its progress.
- Formation chance through 48 hours…high…80 percent.
- Formation chance through 7 days…high…90 percent.
Southwestern Gulf: A trough of low pressure located near the Yucatan Peninsula is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over portions of northern Guatemala, southeastern Mexico, and the adjacent waters of the southwestern Gulf. This system is expected to emerge over the Bay of Campeche later today, and some slow development is possible before it moves inland by the middle of the week. Regardless of development, areas of heavy rain and gusty winds are likely across portions of the Yucatan Peninsula, Belize, and southern Mexico during the next few days.
- Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent.
- Formation chance through 7 days…low…10 percent.
