BY: WEATHER TEAM | BocaNewsNow.com
BOCA RATON, FL (BocaNewsNow.com) (Copyright © 2024 MetroDesk Media, LLC) — Hurricane experts at Colorado State University, the landlocked school that has become the gold standard for hurricane predictions, expect the next few weeks to become active. While the hurricane season, forecasted to be “extremely active,” has been relatively quiet so far, it seems that’s about to change.
Colorado State University’s Department of Atmospheric Science issued this update to its forecast Tuesday afternoon:
”We believe that the next two weeks are most likely to be characterized by activity in the normal category. There are no active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, and the National Hurricane Center currently is not monitoring any areas for tropical cyclone development in the next seven days. However, large-scale environmental conditions look to get more conducive for tropical cyclone activity towards the end of August. In addition, global model ensembles highlight several potential areas for tropical cyclone formation during the second week of our two-week forecast period. The Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) is forecast to persist over the Indian Ocean and then potentially move towards the Maritime Continent, providing large-scale conditions that favor Atlantic hurricane activity.”
CSU is calling for 23 named storms with 12 hurricanes, of which six will become major hurricanes. We note that while the Atlantic hurricane season tends to focus on Florida, the storm forecast includes all regions of the Atlantic, Caribbean, and Gulf of Mexico.
