Heavy Rain Still Expected For South Florida As Developing System Stays North.
UPDATE AT 3:30 p.m. Thursday, July 3, 2025: There is a now a 60-percent chance that the system develops in a tropical depression.
BOCA RATON, FL (BocaNewsNow.com) (Copyright © 2025 MetroDesk Media, LLC) — The developing system under watch by the National Hurricane Center now has a 50-percent chance of developing over the next seven days. The good news: if it becomes a tropical depression, it looks like it’s going to happen off the northeast coast of Florida. The bad news: we are still expecting a rainy July 4th holiday weekend. This weather update starts with the morning afternoon “outlook” from the National Hurricane Center, followed by the forecast for the next several days.
For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America/Gulf Of Mexico.
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025
For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico (For some; Guy of America):
Near the Southeastern U. S.: An area of low pressure is forecast to develop along a weakening frontal boundary near Florida or the Atlantic coast of the southeastern United States on Friday or Saturday. Environmental conditions appear only marginally conducive for some slow development, but a tropical or subtropical depression could form in this region over the weekend or early next week while the system drifts northward or northeastward. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is possible across portions of the southeast U. S., particularly across the west-central Florida coast. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system on Friday, if necessary.
Formation chance through 48 hours…low…30 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days…medium…60 percent.
South Florida Weather Forecast
Today (Thursday): Showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 5pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 5pm. High near 89. South wind 6 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Tonight: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 7pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 7pm. Low around 76. South wind 3 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Independence Day: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 11am, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 87. South wind 6 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Friday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 76. South wind around 6 mph.
Saturday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 2pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 89. South wind 7 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Saturday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 77. Southwest wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Sunday: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 90. Southwest wind 6 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.
Sunday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 76. Southwest wind 3 to 6 mph.
Monday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 90. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the morning.
Monday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 77.
Tuesday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 90.
Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 77.
Wednesday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 90.
