Map Remains Clear On Monday, But…
BOCA RATON, FL (BocaNewsNow.com) (Copyright © 2025 MetroDesk Media, LLC) — There’s nothing to worry about right now, but there are signs that the very quiet hurricane season is getting ready to heat up. That’s typical for this time of year. There are multiple waves with convection being watched by the National Hurricane Center. This is the Tropical Weather Discussion for Monday:
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Mon Jul 28 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America, Gulf of Mexico/America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1800 UTC.
…TROPICAL WAVES…
An central tropical Atlantic is along 37W, south of 17N, moving westward at 5-10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is observed from 08N to 12N and between 35W and 40W.
An active and large tropical wave is along 63W in the eastern Caribbean, south of 25N, moving westward at 5-10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is near the north end of the wave axis.
A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 72W, south of 20W, moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is present near the north end of the wave axis and also over Hispaniola.
…MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ…
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Senegal near 14N17W and extends west-southwestward through a 1012 mb surface low near 10N37, and then southwestward to 06N41W. The ITCZ then extends from 06N41W to 04N48W to the coast of Guyana near 06.5N58W. Scattered moderate convection is seen along and within 200 nm of the monsoon trough axis between 25W and 40W, with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms also along the monsoon trough E of 25W. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are also seen along and near the ITCZ generally S of 10N and W of 55W.
…GULF OF MEXICO / AMERICA…
Convergent surface winds between a 1023 mb high over the NW Gulf and winds north of a tropical wave S of the area are leading to widely scattered moderate convection in the Gulf generally south of a line running from Tampa, FL to Tampico, Mexico. Otherwise high pressure continues to maintain gentle to moderate E winds across much of the Gulf, along with seas of 2-5 ft.
For the forecast, moderate to fresh northeast to east winds will develop off the Yucatan Peninsula tonight as a trough develops inland and shifts westward over the Bay of Campeche. Elsewhere, high pressure will dominate the basin through Fri, supporting mostly gentle to moderate breezes and slight to moderate seas.
…CARIBBEAN SEA…
Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection are ongoing generally S of 16N and W of 80W, and also along the coasts of Belize and the eastern Yucatan Peninsula. A broad subtropical ridge centered north of the Caribbean Sea supports moderate to fresh E to NE winds across much of the central Caribbean between 66W and 80W, as well as in the lee of Cuba and through the Windward Passage. Winds are locally strong S of 15N between 68W and 74W. Winds elsewhere across the basin are gentle to moderate or weaker. Seas are 5-7 ft between 68W and 82W, with 2-5 ft seas elsewhere.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between Atlantic high pressure and lower pressure over Colombia will support fresh winds and rough seas over the central Caribbean through Fri. Strong winds will pulse off Colombia overnight through Fri as the high pressure builds north of the area. Generally moderate winds and seas will prevail elsewhere.
…ATLANTIC OCEAN…
A surface trough extends from the central Bahamas to near 31N69W, with scattered showers seen near the north end of the axis. More scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are seen along and N of 29N due to the convergent surface winds between a 1023 mb high near 28N49W and a 1024 mb high near 35N53W. All other convection in the basin is associated with tropical waves, the monsoon trough, or the ITCZ.
Away from areas of convection, the tropical Atlantic is dominated by a ridge stemming from a 1033 mb high near 45N23W, and also anchored by a 1023 mb high near 28N49W. Recent scatterometer data indicates moderate to fresh NE winds N of 20N and E of 20W, with the strongest winds occurring in between the Canary Islands. Seas in this area are 4-6 ft. Moderate to fresh SE winds and seas of 4-6 ft are also seen S of the monsoon trough and ITCZ. The remainder of the tropical Atlantic is seeing moderate to locally fresh trades prevail S of 20N, with gentle to moderate or weaker winds N of 20N and W of 20W. Seas of 3-6 ft are also prevalent across much of the tropical Atlantic.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure will dominate the weather pattern across the forecast region through Fri, supporting mostly gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas over the region.
BocaNewsNow.com adheres to style guidance from the Associated Press which is the world’s preeminent journalistic organization. Like the AP, we state that the body of water referenced above is known worldwide as the Gulf of Mexico, but acknowledge that President Trump has renamed it “Gulf of America.”
