BOCA RATON, FL (BocaNewsNow.com) (Copyright © 2025 MetroDesk Media, LLC) — It sure looks like the system east of Florida Monday afternoon is going to follow the curvy path of other systems this season and stay away from the Eastern Seaboard, but that is not a sure thing. Forecasters remind BocaNewsNow.com that a red oval indicates where a system may form, but not necessarily a direction of travel. Here is the latest on that system and a new system in the Gulf of Mexico — as of late Monday afternoon.
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025
For the North Atlantic… Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico (America):
Central Tropical Atlantic (AL95): Visible satellite images indicate that the area of low pressure located over the tropical central Atlantic is gradually becoming better organized. Environmental conditions appear generally conducive for slow development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next couple of days while it moves quickly west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic. This system is expected to be near or north of the northern Leeward Islands on Thursday and Friday, and interests there should monitor its progress. * Formation chance through 48 hours…high…70 percent.
- Formation chance through 7 days…high…80 percent.
Northwestern Caribbean and Southwestern Gulf: A trough of low pressure located over the northwestern Caribbean Sea is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This system is expected to move across the Yucatan Peninsula tonight and early Tuesday, and then track over the Bay of Campeche late Tuesday through Wednesday. Some slow development of this system is possible over the Bay of Campeche around the middle of the week. Regardless of development, areas of heavy rain and gusty winds are likely across portions of the Yucatan Peninsula, Belize, and southern Mexico during the next few days.
- Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent.
- Formation chance through 7 days…low…10 percent.
