
BOCA RATON, FL (BocaNewsNow.com) (Copyright © 2026 MetroDesk Media, LLC) — That orange oval southeast of Florida has a 60-percent chance of being the area where a tropical system develops within the seven days — that’s according to the National Hurricane Center Monday afternoon. Here’s the complete NHC update:
For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL95)
Satellite-wind data indicate that the low-level circulation remains broad in association with an area of low pressure centered a few hundred miles east-southeast of Bermuda. Environmental conditions are only marginally conducive for further development, but this system could become a short-lived tropical depression or storm through Tuesday while it moves northward and north-northeastward, well northeast of Bermuda. By Wednesday, the low is forecast to move over cold waters, ending its formation chances.
- Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…50 percent.
- Formation chance through 7 days…medium…50 percent.
Eastern Tropical Atlantic
A tropical wave and associated area of low pressure is centered a few hundred miles southeast of the Cabo Verde islands and is accompanied by disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to gradually become more conducive for development, and a tropical depression could form by the middle to latter portions of the week while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
- Formation chance through 48 hours…low…30 percent.
- Formation chance through 7 days…medium…60 percent.
BocaNewsNow.com changes all “Gulf Of America” references to “Gulf of Mexico,” the internationally accepted name. We do however acknowledge that some people in some places do believe that an American president has the power to rename bodies of water.
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