BY: WEATHER TEAM | BocaNewsNow.com
BOCA RATON, FL (BocaNewsNow.com) (Copyright © 2023 MetroDesk Media, LLC) — The Sunday tropical outlook map from the National Hurricane shows something rarely seen: two systems moving away from Florida, but potentially on paths could intersect. We note that the ovals you see above indicate where a system may form and not necessarily a direction of travel, but it’s difficult to look at the map and not wonder if the “red x” and “yellow x” aren’t going to merge over the Atlantic.
The good news: it does not appear that either will directly impact the United States mainland. The “Red X” as of Sunday has a 70-percent chance of developing into a tropical cyclone. The “Yellow X” just a 20-percent chance. Here is the outlook from the National Hurricane Center:
For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL96):
Shower and thunderstorm activity has become a little more
concentrated in association with an area of low pressure located
about 700 miles east-northeast of the Leeward Islands. Environmental
conditions are forecast to be marginally favorable for gradual
development of this system over the next few days, and a tropical
depression is likely to form during the early part of this week. The
system is expected to move northwestward at about 15 mph during the
next day or so, and then turn northward over the central subtropical
Atlantic by late Monday or Tuesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…high…70 percent.
2. Off the North Carolina Coast (AL97):
Shower and thunderstorm activity is showing some signs of
organization in association with a trough of low pressure located
about 100 miles southeast of Morehead City, North Carolina.
Environmental conditions appear generally favorable for some
additional development over the next day or so as the system
gradually accelerates east-northeastward into the northwestern
Atlantic Ocean. Afterwards, this system is likely to merge with a
frontal boundary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…low…30 percent.
