Tropical system may 15 2020

WET: Hurricane Center Still Watching Potential Storm

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Tropical system may 15 2020
[Welcome to mid-May. Courtesy, National Hurricane Center May 15, 2020].

BOCA RATON, FL ( — As unbelievable as it is that we’re needing to update statements from the National Hurricane Center in mid-May, here is the just-released 8 a.m. update regarding the system that may develop.

Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 805 AM EDT Fri May 15 2020 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1030 UTC. …SPECIAL FEATURES… An area of low pressure is expected to form near the Bahamas during the next 24 hours. It is likely that this low pressure center may become a tropical storm or a subtropical storm, by late tonight or Saturday, near the northwestern Bahamas. This weather system is expected to move generally northeastward, in the western Atlantic Ocean, later in the weekend and early in the next week. Expect periods of heavy rainfall in parts of the Florida Keys, southeastern Florida, and in the Bahamas, through Saturday.

Wind gusts to gale force are possible in heavier showers during the next day or two. Hazardous marine conditions are expected along the Florida east coast and in the Bahamas. Please refer to weather bulletins and forecasts from your local weather office and High Seas Forecasts, for more details. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system later today, if necessary. A Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this system will be issued by 9 AM EDT today, or earlier, if necessary. The chance of formation of a tropical cyclone, during the next 48 hours, is high. …GALE WARNING… Expect frequent gusts to gale-force, and sea heights ranging from 8 feet to 11 feet, in the Straits of Florida, between the Bahamas and southern Florida for the next 24 hours or so.

The current forecast consists of: E winds 20 to 25 knots, with frequent gusts to 35 kt, from 24N to 28N between 75W and 82W. Sea heights will range from 8 feet to 11 feet, with the highest values expected in the Straits of Florida. Please read the latest High Seas Forecast: MIAHSFAT2.shtml, for more details.


Paul Saperstein


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