Too Early For Boca Raton, Delray Beach, Palm Beach County To Worry, But System Should Be Watched
UPDATE: 8:05 p.m: This is the 8 p.m update from the National Hurricane Center. We stress: it’s still too early to be concerned, but certainly the “red” storm is one to watch for South Florida. The graphic covers the five day predicted path. Whatever happens — if anything — is still quite some time away.
1. A tropical wave near the Windward Islands continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This disturbance is moving westward at about 20 mph, and is expected to continue to move quickly westward over the eastern and central Caribbean Sea during the next couple of days, which is likely to limit significant development. After that time, however, the system is forecast to move more slowly westward across the western Caribbean, where upper-level winds could become more conducive for the development of a tropical depression during the latter part of this week. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are expected over portions of the Windward and southern Leeward Islands through Tuesday morning. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. 2. Satellite images indicate that a broad area of low pressure located about 700 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands has become better organized since yesterday, with increasing banding features near the center. Environmental conditions are conducive for further development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within a couple days while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the central and western portions of the tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
UPDATE: We’ve now updated with the afternoon graphic and NHC “outlook” which will replace our earlier reporting.
BOCA RATON, FL (BocaNewsNow.com) — It’s getting busy in the Atlantic, and one of two active tropical systems — as of 4 p.m. Monday — is potentially on a track that could affect South Florida. It is much too early to fear either system, but both are reminders that a hurricane plan now could reduce your stress if these become real.
Note that as of the 2 p.m. graphic, the storm that MAY affect Florida based its current potential trajectory is now red — meaning it has a 60 percent or greater chance of becoming a legitimate storm.
1. A tropical wave approaching the Windward Islands is producing a large area of disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. This disturbance is moving westward at about 20 mph, and is expected to continue to move quickly westward over the eastern and central Caribbean Sea during the next couple of days, which is likely to limit significant development. After that time, however, the system is expected to move more slowly westward across the western Caribbean, where upper-level winds could become more conducive for the development of a tropical depression during the latter part of this week. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are expected over portions of the Windward and southern Leeward Islands through Tuesday morning. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. 2. A tropical wave over the eastern tropical Atlantic is forecast to interact with another disturbance located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands within the next day or two. This interaction is expected to lead to the formation of a broad area of low pressure, and conditions are forecast to be conducive for the development of a tropical depression during the middle-to-latter part of this week while the system moves westward to west- northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the central and western portions of the tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
[ORIGINAL POSTS FOR AUGUST 17, 2020]
UPDATE: We’ve updated with the 8AM graphic and the National Hurricane Center 8AM “outlook.”
BOCA RATON, FL (BocaNewsNow.com) — It’s getting busy in the Atlantic, and one of two active tropical systems — as of 8 a.m. Monday — is potentially on a track that could affect South Florida. It is much too early to fear either system, but both are reminders that a hurricane plan now could reduce your stress if these become real.
Here is the 8 AM update from the National Hurricane Center:
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A fast-moving tropical wave located a couple of hundred miles east of the Windward Islands continues to produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. This disturbance is expected to move westward at about 20 mph during the next few days, and that fast forward speed is likely to limit significant development while the system approaches the Windward and southern Leeward Islands today, and moves across the eastern and central Caribbean Sea on Tuesday and Wednesday. After that time, however, the system is expected to move more slowly westward across the western Caribbean Sea, where upper-level winds could become more conducive for the development of a tropical depression during the latter part of this week. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are expected over portions of the Windward and southern Leeward Islands beginning today through Tuesday morning. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. Another tropical wave located over the eastern tropical Atlantic to the south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized cloudiness and showers. The wave is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph during the next few days, and environmental conditions are expected to become more conducive for the development of a tropical depression during the middle-to-latter part of this week while the system moves across the central and western portions of the tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.
