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HURRICANE CENTER: Wave Activity Continues In Atlantic, Gulf

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national hurricane center august 31 2020

One Wave Dies, Another Rolls Off Africa, Two Remain Likely To Strengthen Soon

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER 2PM MONDAY, AUGUST 31, 2020

BOCA RATON, FL (BocaNewsNow.com) — Things change quickly when it comes to tropical systems this time of year. One of the two Florida-tracking waves that forecasters have been watching for days has dissipated, but another has rolled off the African coast and is showing a five-day path that keeps Florida as a possibility.

Two other waves are strengthening — one in the Gulf, the other now in the Atlantic.

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The next two names for storms this season are Nana and Omar. NOAA continues to believe we could see 25 named storms by the time the season is over. We are now in what is known as a “peak” hurricane season.


Here’s the 2PM advisory from the National Hurricane Center:


ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Aug 31 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A broad area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave over 
the central Caribbean Sea has changed little in organization since 
yesterday, and satellite-derived winds indicate that there is no 
closed circulation.  However, environmental conditions are expected 
to gradually become more conducive for development, and a tropical 
depression is likely to form during the next couple of days while 
the system moves westward at 15 to 20 mph. Interests in Jamaica, 
Honduras, Belize, Guatemala and the Yucatan peninsula should monitor 
the progress of this disturbance.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

2. An area of low pressure is located about 135 miles southeast of 
Wilmington, North Carolina. This system continues to become better 
organized, and a tropical depression is expected to form later today 
or tonight while the system moves northeastward, near but 
offshore of the southeastern coast of the United States and then 
away from land.  An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is 
en route to investigate the system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

3. A tropical wave is expected to emerge off the coast of Africa in a 
day or two. Gradual development of this system will be possible 
through the end of the week while it moves slowly westward over the 
far eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

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