FORECAST: Expect Two Tropical Depressions To Form Over Next Few Days

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tropical waves florida

Hurricane Forecasters Watching Developing Systems Between Florida and Africa

BOCA RATON, FL (BocaNewsNow.com) — Still no need to move into hyper-hurricane-prep mode, but the National Hurricane Center now says there’s a 90 percent chance of a tropical wave developing into a tropical depression within the next 48 hours. There is a 70 percent chance that a second wave also develops into a tropical depression during the same time frame.

While the hurricane center stresses that the red ovals above show where a storm may form, and not a “path” or “cone,” the waves are moving west towards Florida and the United States east coast. They are both systems worth watching.

Two other systems, according to hurricane center forecasters, have just a small chance of developing into something of concern.


Here is the 2pm tropical outlook from the National Hurricane Center.



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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Sep 6 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

An area of low pressure located about midway between the west coast 
of Africa and the Leeward Islands is gradually becoming better 
defined.  However, the associated showers and thunderstorms are 
still not well organized.  Gradual development of this system is 
expected, and a tropical depression is likely to form tonight or on 
Monday while it moves westward or west-northwestward across the 
central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Showers and thunderstorms are showing signs of organization in 
association with a broad area of low pressure located just 
off the coast of western Africa. Environmental conditions 
are conducive for development, and a tropical depression is 
expected to form within the next couple of days while it moves 
generally westward over the far eastern tropical Atlantic. Interests 
in the Cabo Verde Islands should monitor the progress of this system 
as gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall is likely there Monday 
night and Tuesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

A tropical wave located over the central Caribbean Sea continues to 
produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Development, if 
any, of this system should be slow to occur during the next day or 
two while it moves westward across the central and western 
Caribbean Sea.  After that time, unfavorable upper-level winds 
should limit its formation chances.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

A trough of low pressure located just southeast of Bermuda is 
producing disorganized cloudiness and showers.  Some slow 
development of this system is possible during the next several days 
while it moves west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Is Florida In The Path Of A Hurricane Or Tropical Storm?

tropical waves florida

No, not as of mid-day Sunday, September 6, 2020. But the National Hurricane Center is watching two waves that both have a high chance of forming into tropical depressions over the next two days. This is peak hurricane season so watching the tropics is always advised for those with interests along the east and gulf coasts.

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