BOCA RATON, FL (BocaNewsNow.com) — There is no guarantee it will become anything to worry about, but the National Hurricane Center says yet another wave is expected to roll off the coast of Africa during this exceptionally busy Atlantic Hurricane season. It is “likely” the wave forms into a tropical system towards the end of the week or beginning of the weekend. It is much too early to have any idea about a path.
Meantime, Rene and Paulette continue to be no issue for the U.S. Mainland.
Here is the early tropical weather discussion from the National Hurricane Center for Wednesday, September 29th.
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Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 205 AM EDT Wed Sep 09 2020 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0540 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... The center of Tropical Storm Paulette, at 09/0300 UTC, is near 19.2N 45.0W. PAULETTE is moving NW, or 305 degrees, 08 knots. The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb. The maximum sustained wind speeds are 50 knots with gusts to 60 knots. Precipitation: scattered moderate to strong is within 300 nm of the center in the N quadrant, within 240 nm of the center in the SE quadrant. Isolated to widely scattered and isolated strong is from 10N to 15N between 40W and 52W. Please, read the latest NHC Public Advisory at: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCPAT2.shtml, and the Forecast/Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCMAT2.shtml, for more details. The center of Tropical Depression Rene, at 09/0300 UTC, is near 17.0N 29.3W. RENE is moving WNW, or 285 degrees, 14 knots. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb. The maximum sustained wind speeds are 30 knots with gusts to 40 knots. Precipitation: scattered strong is within 150 nm of the center in the W quadrant. Please read the latest NHC Public Advisory at: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCPAT3.shtml, and Forecast/Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCMAT3.shtml, for more details. ...TROPICAL WAVES... A tropical wave is inland in Africa. A 1008 mb low pressure center is along the tropical wave near 12N. The wave is moving westward 10 to 15 knots. Precipitation: isolated moderate to locally strong is within 250 nm of the low pressure center in the NW quadrant. Gradual development is expected, once the system moves over water. It is likely that a tropical depression may form late this week or during the weekend, while the system moves generally westward across the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. Please, read the North Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook for the latest updates. A Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 76W/77W from SE Cuba southward, moving W 10 to 15 knots. Precipitation: isolated moderate covers the waters that are between 70W and 80W. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough is inland, in Mexico. The ITCZ is along 11N/12N, between 48W and 60W. Precipitation: passes through the coastal sections of Mauritania near 17N16W, to 11N30W, through the 1010 mb low pressure center that is near 11N39W, to 09N51W. Precipitation: isolated to widely scattered moderate and isolated strong is from 04N to 13N from 40W eastward, and from 06N to 18N from 25W eastward. GULF OF MEXICO... A surface trough extends from the 30N80W, toward Tampa in Florida, to the Yucatan Channel. Precipitation: isolated to widely scattered moderate and isolated strong covers the inland areas of Florida from 30N southward, in the Gulf of Mexico between Florida and the surface trough, and inland areas of Cuba. Upper level cyclonic wind flow, with a trough, covers the Gulf of Mexico from 90W eastward. A surface trough just offshore of the Florida Gulf coast will drift W through the week. High pressure that is to the N-NE of the area will extend across the Gulf of Mexico. Expect fairly tranquil marine conditions through the upcoming weekend, elsewhere. CARIBBEAN SEA... An upper level cyclonic circulation center is about 75 nm to the south of Puerto Rico. Upper level cyclonic wind flow covers the Caribbean Sea between the eastern Caribbean Sea islands and the 76W/77W tropical wave. Precipitation: isolated moderate in the Caribbean Sea from the 76W/77W tropical wave eastward. An upper level cyclonic circulation center is halfway between NW Cuba and the eastern sections of Honduras. Precipitation: widely scattered moderate to isolated strong is to the south of NW Cuba, within 90 nm of the coast. Isolated moderate covers the rest of the Caribbean Sea from the 76W/77W tropical wave westward. The monsoon trough is along 11N, between 73W in Colombia and beyond the border of Nicaragua and Costa Rica. Precipitation: isolated moderate to locally strong covers the Caribbean Sea from 15N southward from 70W westward. Broad surface low pressure covers parts of Central America. Precipitation: widely scattered to scattered moderate and isolated strong in clusters covers Central America between 83W at the coast of Nicaragua and the Isthmus of Tehuantepec of southern Mexico. A Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 76W/77W from SE Cuba southward, moving W 10 to 15 knots. Precipitation: isolated moderate covers the waters that are between 70W and 80W. Tropical Storm Paulette near 19.2N 45.0W 997 mb at 11 PM EDT moving NW at 8 kt. Maximum sustained winds 50 kt gusts 60 kt. Paulette will move to 19.8N 46.2W Wed morning, 20.2N 48.1W Wed evening, 20.6N 50.0W Thu morning, 20.8N 51.7W Thu evening, 21.1N 52.9W Fri morning, and 21.9N 53.8W Fri evening. Paulette will change little in intensity as it moves to 24.4N 55.7W ate Sat, and 27.5N 59.0W late Sun. Large swells associated with Paulette may spread through Atlantic passages by the end of the week into the weekend. A tropical wave, approaching Jamaica extending southward to western Colombia, will move W through the central Caribbean Sea through Wednesday, then across the western Caribbean Sea late week. ATLANTIC OCEAN... A 1011 mb low pressure center is near 30N71W. Gradual development of the low pressure center is possible during the next two or three days. It is possible that a tropical depression may develop, while the low pressure center continues to move slowly west-northwestward toward the coasts of South and North Carolina. Anyone with interests in those areas should monitor the progress of this low pressure center. Precipitation: isolated to widely scattered moderate and locally strong is within 300 nm of the center in the SE quadrant. Please, read the North Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook for the latest updates. Upper level cyclonic wind flow, with a NW-to-SE oriented inverted trough, is bringing upper level cyclonic wind flow to the Atlantic Ocean from 20N northward between 50W and 66W. Precipitation: isolated moderate covers the Atlantic Ocean, elsewhere, from 20N northward from 58W westward. Tropical Storm Paulette near 19.2N 45.0W 997 mb at 11 PM EDT moving NW at 8 kt. Maximum sustained winds 50 kt gusts 60 kt. Paulette will move to 19.8N 46.2W Wed morning, 20.2N 48.1W Wed evening, 20.6N 50.0W Thu morning, 20.8N 51.7W Thu evening, 21.1N 52.9W Fri morning, and 21.9N 53.8W Fri evening. Paulette will change little in intensity as it moves to 24.4N 55.7W late Sat, and 27.5N 59.0W late Sun. Large swells associated with Paulette may spread into the waters E of the Bahamas by the end of the week, through the weekend. A surface trough from NE of Cape Canaveral to SW of Tampa Bay Florida will drift W through mid- week. Low pressure 1011 mb near 30N71W along a trough will drift W through the week well N of the Bahamas. This low has a low chance of tropical formation.
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