hurricane forecast

HURRICANE CENTER: Another Wave Likely To Develop, Still Far Away

Florida hurricane News Palm Beach County Palm Beach County Hurricane weather

BOCA RATON, FL (BocaNewsNow.com) — There is no guarantee it will become anything to worry about, but the National Hurricane Center says yet another wave is expected to roll off the coast of Africa during this exceptionally busy Atlantic Hurricane season. It is “likely” the wave forms into a tropical system towards the end of the week or beginning of the weekend. It is much too early to have any idea about a path.

Meantime, Rene and Paulette continue to be no issue for the U.S. Mainland.

Here is the early tropical weather discussion from the National Hurricane Center for Wednesday, September 29th.

IF THIS REPORT IS DATED, CLICK HERE FOR LATEST FORECASTS, ADVISORIES FROM BOCANEWSNOW.COM.

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
205 AM EDT Wed Sep 09 2020

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0540 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

The center of Tropical Storm Paulette, at 09/0300 UTC, is near 
19.2N 45.0W. PAULETTE is moving NW, or 305 degrees, 08 knots. 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb. The maximum 
sustained wind speeds are 50 knots with gusts to 60 knots. 
Precipitation: scattered moderate to strong is within 300 nm of 
the center in the N quadrant, within 240 nm of the center in the 
SE quadrant. Isolated to widely scattered and isolated strong is 
from 10N to 15N between 40W and 52W. Please, read the latest NHC 
Public Advisory at: 
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCPAT2.shtml, and the 
Forecast/Advisory at 
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCMAT2.shtml, for more details.

The center of Tropical Depression Rene, at 09/0300 UTC, is near 
17.0N 29.3W. RENE is moving WNW, or 285 degrees, 14 knots. The 
estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb. The maximum 
sustained wind speeds are 30 knots with gusts to 40 knots. 
Precipitation: scattered strong is within 150 nm of the center 
in the W quadrant. Please read the latest NHC Public Advisory 
at: 
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCPAT3.shtml, and 
Forecast/Advisory at 
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCMAT3.shtml, for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is inland in Africa. A 1008 mb low pressure 
center is along the tropical wave near 12N. The wave is moving 
westward 10 to 15 knots. Precipitation: isolated moderate to 
locally strong is within 250 nm of the low pressure center in 
the NW quadrant. Gradual development is expected, once the 
system moves over water. It is likely that a tropical depression 
may form late this week or during the weekend, while the system 
moves generally westward across the eastern tropical Atlantic 
Ocean. Please, read the North Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook 
for the latest updates.

A Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 76W/77W from SE Cuba 
southward, moving W 10 to 15 knots.
Precipitation: isolated moderate covers the waters that are 
between 70W and 80W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough is inland, in Mexico. The ITCZ is along 
11N/12N, between 48W and 60W. Precipitation: passes through the 
coastal sections of Mauritania near 17N16W, to 11N30W, through 
the 1010 mb low pressure center that is near 11N39W, to 09N51W. 
Precipitation: isolated to widely scattered moderate and 
isolated strong is from 04N to 13N from 40W eastward, and from 
06N to 18N from 25W eastward.

GULF OF MEXICO...

A surface trough extends from the 30N80W, toward Tampa in 
Florida, to the Yucatan Channel. Precipitation: isolated to 
widely scattered moderate and isolated strong covers the inland 
areas of Florida from 30N southward, in the Gulf of Mexico 
between Florida and the surface trough, and inland areas of 
Cuba. Upper level cyclonic wind flow, with a trough, covers the 
Gulf of Mexico from 90W eastward.

A surface trough just offshore of the Florida Gulf coast will 
drift W through the week. High pressure that is to the N-NE of 
the area will extend across the Gulf of Mexico. Expect fairly
tranquil marine conditions through the upcoming weekend, 
elsewhere. 

CARIBBEAN SEA...

An upper level cyclonic circulation center is about 75 nm to the 
south of Puerto Rico. Upper level cyclonic wind flow covers the 
Caribbean Sea between the eastern Caribbean Sea islands and the 
76W/77W tropical wave. Precipitation: isolated moderate in the 
Caribbean Sea from the 76W/77W tropical wave eastward.

An upper level cyclonic circulation center is halfway between NW 
Cuba and the eastern sections of Honduras. Precipitation: widely 
scattered moderate to isolated strong is to the south of NW 
Cuba, within 90 nm of the coast. Isolated moderate covers the 
rest of the Caribbean Sea from the 76W/77W tropical wave 
westward.

The monsoon trough is along 11N, between 73W in Colombia and 
beyond the border of Nicaragua and Costa Rica. Precipitation: 
isolated moderate to locally strong covers the Caribbean Sea 
from 15N southward from 70W westward.

Broad surface low pressure covers parts of Central America. 
Precipitation: widely scattered to scattered moderate and 
isolated strong in clusters covers Central America between 83W 
at the coast of Nicaragua and the Isthmus of Tehuantepec of 
southern Mexico.

A Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 76W/77W from SE Cuba 
southward, moving W 10 to 15 knots. Precipitation: isolated 
moderate covers the waters that are between 70W and 80W.

Tropical Storm Paulette near 19.2N 45.0W 997 mb at  11 PM EDT 
moving NW at 8 kt. Maximum sustained winds 50 kt gusts 60 kt. 
Paulette will move to 19.8N 46.2W Wed morning, 20.2N 48.1W Wed 
evening, 20.6N 50.0W Thu morning, 20.8N 51.7W Thu evening, 21.1N 
52.9W Fri morning, and 21.9N 53.8W Fri evening. Paulette will 
change little in intensity as it moves to 24.4N 55.7W ate Sat, 
and 27.5N 59.0W late Sun. Large swells associated with Paulette 
may spread through Atlantic passages by the end of the week into 
the weekend. A tropical wave, approaching Jamaica extending 
southward to western Colombia, will move W through the central 
Caribbean Sea through Wednesday, then across the western 
Caribbean Sea late week.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A 1011 mb low pressure center is near 30N71W. Gradual 
development of the low pressure center is possible during the 
next two or three days. It is possible that a tropical 
depression may develop, while the low pressure center continues 
to move slowly west-northwestward toward the coasts of South and 
North Carolina. Anyone with interests in those areas should 
monitor the progress of this low pressure center. Precipitation: 
isolated to widely scattered moderate and locally strong is 
within 300 nm of the center in the SE quadrant. Please, read the 
North Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook for the latest updates.

Upper level cyclonic wind flow, with a NW-to-SE oriented 
inverted trough, is bringing upper level cyclonic wind flow to 
the Atlantic Ocean from 20N northward between 50W and 66W. 
Precipitation: isolated moderate covers the Atlantic Ocean, 
elsewhere, from 20N northward from 58W westward.

Tropical Storm Paulette near 19.2N 45.0W 997 mb at 11 PM EDT 
moving NW at 8 kt. Maximum sustained winds 50 kt gusts 60 kt. 
Paulette will move to 19.8N 46.2W Wed morning, 20.2N 48.1W Wed 
evening, 20.6N 50.0W Thu morning, 20.8N 51.7W Thu evening, 21.1N 
52.9W Fri morning, and 21.9N 53.8W Fri evening. Paulette will 
change little in intensity as it moves to 24.4N 55.7W late Sat, 
and 27.5N 59.0W late Sun. Large swells associated with Paulette 
may spread into the waters E of the Bahamas by the end of the 
week, through the weekend. A surface trough from NE of Cape 
Canaveral to SW of Tampa Bay Florida will drift W through mid-
week. Low pressure 1011 mb near 30N71W along a trough will drift 
W through the week well N of the Bahamas. This low has a low 
chance of tropical formation.

Content copyright © 2020 Metro Desk Media, LLC. All Rights Reserved. Broadcast stations must credit BocaNewsNow.com on air. Print must refer to BocaNewsNow.com. Online must link to BocaNewsNow.com. We have agreements with several organizations. Contact news (at) bocanewsnow.com.

Tagged

COMMENTING INDICATES YOUR ACCEPTANCE OF OUR POLICIES WHICH YOU CAN READ BY CLICKING “POLICIES” ABOVE.