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FLORIDA: Tropics Not Done Yet, Hurricane Center Still Watching Activity

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BOCA RATON, FL (BocaNewsNow.com) — The National Hurricane Center is watching three areas of potential activity — seemingly incredible for mid-October. There is no pending significant threat to anyone at this point, but “disturbance #1” — the yellow X above — seems to be stubborn. It’s been heading towards Florida with a low development chance for several days. It is still holding at just a 10 percent chance of developing, but it’s not dead yet. We stress: the ovals above are areas where systems may develop, they do not represent a “cone.”

Here’s the latest from the National Hurricane Center.


For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A weak area of low pressure near the Lesser Antilles continues to 
produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms, 
well to the east of its center.  Strong upper-level winds are 
expected to continue to inhibit development while the system moves 
west-northwestward over the next couple of days.  Regardless of 
development, the system could produce locally heavy rainfall across 
portions of the Lesser Antilles, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto 
Rico over the next few days. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

2. A broad non-tropical low pressure system is expected to form over 
the weekend several hundred miles east-southeast of Bermuda. Some 
slow development will be possible thereafter into early next week 
while the system moves southwestward and then westward, passing 
about midway between Bermuda and the northern Lesser Antilles.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

3. A broad area of low pressure could form by early next week over 
the southwestern Caribbean Sea. Some gradual development of the 
system will be possible thereafter while it moves slowly 
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

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