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ATTENTION FLORIDA: Now 70 Percent Chance Tropical Depression Forms

national hurricane center
National Hurricane Center Update Monday Morning, August 9th, 2021.


UPDATE 2PM MONDAY, AUGUST 9, 2021: The forecast below is dated. Access the update here.

BOCA RATON, FL ( (Copyright © 2021 MetroDesk Media, LLC) — The National Hurricane Center just elevated the chance of a tropical disturbance east of Florida becoming a Tropical Depression to 70 percent over the next two days.

While the oval, above, indicates where the tropical depression may form and not necessarily a direction of travel, it is likely safe to surmise that anyone in Southeast Florida should be paying attention to the growing system.

This is the latest update from the National Hurricane Center mid-morning on Monday, August 9th, 2021:

  1. Showers and thunderstorms have become more concentrated this morning
    in association with a low pressure system located about 150 miles
    east of Barbados. Environmental conditions are expected to be
    conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression is
    likely to form later today or tonight while the low moves
    west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. The disturbance is forecast to
    reach portions of the Lesser Antilles tonight, then move near the
    Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on Tuesday, and be near Hispaniola
    around the middle of this week. Tropical storm watches or warnings
    could be required today with shorter-than-normal lead times for
    portions of the Lesser Antilles, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto
    Rico. In addition, heavy rains and flooding are likely for the
    Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico. Interests in
    those areas should monitor the progress of this system.
  • Formation chance through 48 hours…high…70 percent.
  • Formation chance through 5 days…high…70 percent.
  1. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms have changed little in
    association with an elongated low pressure area located several
    hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles. Development of this
    system is becoming less likely during the next few days while it
    moves toward the west or west-southwest at around 10 mph.
  • Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent.
  • Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent.



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