National hurricane center

HURRICANE CENTER: Sam Turning, But Two Systems Forming East Of Florida

Florida hurricane News weather
Sunday, September 26th, 2021 outlook from the National Hurricane Center.


BOCA RATON, FL ( (Copyright © 2021 MetroDesk Media, LLC) — The Atlantic Hurricane Season remains hopping with two new systems being watched by forecasters at the National Hurricane Center.

Sam, as of Sunday morning, appears to be turning to the north and potentially northeast, as predicted by most of the “spaghetti models” that serve as the basis for the official National Hurricane Center forecast.

It’s much too early to discuss potential paths for the systems that appear to be forming. The two of note — near Africa — have a 60 and 30 percent chance of becoming tropical cyclones over the next five days.

This is the Sunday morning outlook from the National Hurricane Center.

Hurricane Sam is turning, according to the National Hurricane Center.

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Sep 26 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Sam, located about 900 miles east-southeast of the northern Leeward 

1. An elongated area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms 
associated with the remnants of Peter is located a few hundred 
miles southeast of Bermuda.  Upper-level winds only appear 
marginally conducive for some slow development of this disturbance 
over the next couple of days as it moves northeastward at about 10 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

2. A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa on 
Monday.  Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for 
gradual development thereafter, and a tropical depression could form 
by midweek while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 
10 to 15 mph over the far eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

3. A broad area of low pressure could form over the eastern or central 
tropical Atlantic early this week, to the west of the tropical wave 
that will be moving off the coast of Africa.  Thereafter, 
environmental conditions could support some development of this 
disturbance while it moves westward at 5 to 10 mph through the 
middle of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.


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