National Hurricane Center

HURRICANE CENTER: Southeast Of Florida, Two Waves Still Watched

Florida hurricane News weather

One Appears To Be Heading Away, Another May Form Closer To State.

National Hurricane Center outlook for early October 12th, 2021.


BOCA RATON, FL ( (Copyright © 2021 MetroDesk Media, LLC) — Two tropical waves continue to be under the watchful eyes of forecasters at the National Hurricane Center. As of early Tuesday morning, one of the waves appears to be destined for nothing, while a second may be something of interest to Florida’s east coast.

Even so, the system shows just a 20 percent chance of development over the next five days.

The systems are marked by yellow X’s above. The ovals around the X’s indicate where a system may form, not necessarily a direction of travel.

The Atlantic Hurricane Season continues through the end of November.

This is the early morning outlook for Tuesday, October 12th, 2021:

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Satellite-derived wind data indicate that the tropical wave, 
located a little over 150 miles east of the Windward Islands, has 
become less defined overnight. While this system continues to 
produce showers and thunderstorms primarily east of its center, 
strong upper-level winds will likely prevent further development 
during the next couple of days.  Regardless of development, the 
system could produce locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds across 
portions of the central and northern Lesser Antilles today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

2. Another tropical wave moving over Hispaniola is producing a large 
area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Although 
environmental conditions are not forecast to be conducive for 
development of this system, a broad area of low pressure, however, 
is expected to form near the southeast Bahamas on Wednesday and 
drift generally eastward through the end of the week.  Regardless 
of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible over portions of 
the Lesser Antilles, Puerto Rico, and Hispaniola during the next 
couple of days. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Roberts


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