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Pacific’s Agatha Now Heading Into Gulf, Reformation Likely.

Hurricane Season Starts Wednesday.


BOCA RATON, FL ( (Copyright © 2022 MetroDesk Media, LLC) — There is now a 60 percent chance that the system known as ”Hurricane Agatha” in the Pacific will redevelop as a new system in the Gulf. If the system grows to the point of tropical storm status, it will be known as ”Alex.”

At the very least, the system appears set to bring significant rain to Florida by the end of the week. Its ultimate size, strength, and trajectory remain unclear. It is much too early for an accurate prediction. We also note that the orange ”oval” that you see above is the area where a system is likely to develop, not necessarily a direction of travel.

This is the early morning update from the National Hurricane Center:

“For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Near the Yucatan Peninsula and Southeastern Gulf of Mexico: A large and complex area of low pressure is expected to develop near
the Yucatan Peninsula and the northwestern Caribbean Sea in a couple of days, partially related to the remnants of Tropical Storm Agatha from the eastern Pacific. Despite strong upper-level winds over the
area, this system could become a tropical depression while it moves northeastward over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and southeastern Gulf of Mexico late this week. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is likely across portions of southeastern Mexico, the Yucatan Peninsula, Guatemala, and Belize during the next few days, spreading across western Cuba, southern Florida, and the Florida Keys by the end of the week.

Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent. Formation chance through 5 days…medium…60 percent.”

We continue to monitor and update advisories from the National Hurricane Center.

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