BY: WEATHER TEAM | BocaNewsNow.com
BOCA RATON, FL (BocaNewsNow.com) (Copyright © 2022 MetroDesk Media, LLC) — All Tropical Storm warnings have been dropped for South Florida. There may be rain bands throughout the afternoon, but all substantive storm-related weather should now be over.
From the National Hurricane Center just after 2 p.m:
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
The Tropical Storm Warning has been discontinued for the east coast
of Florida south of Jupiter Inlet.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* East coast of Florida south of the Volusia/Brevard County Line to
* Northwestern Bahamas
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within
the next 24 hours.
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible somewhere within the watch area.
For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area
outside of the United States, please monitor products issued by
your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
At 200 PM EDT (1800 UTC), the disturbance was centered near latitude
27.3 North, longitude 80.5 West. The system is moving toward the
northeast near 18 mph (30 km/h), and this general motion is expected
to continue through tonight. A turn toward the east-northeast with
an additional increase in forward speed is expected on Sunday,
followed by a turn toward the east Monday night. On the forecast
track, the disturbance is expected to move off of the east coast of
Florida this afternoon, move over the southwestern Atlantic north of
the Bahamas tonight, and move near or to the north of Bermuda on
Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher
gusts. The disturbance is expected to become a tropical storm off
the east coast of Florida by tonight, and some strengthening is
forecast tonight through Monday as the system moves farther away
from Florida over the western Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days… high…90 percent.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 210 miles (335 km)
to the east of the center. Ft. Pierce, Florida, recently reported
a wind gust of 40 mph (65 km/h), and a weather station near
Melbourne Beach, Florida recently reported a wind gust of 48 mph
The estimated minimum central pressure based on surface
observations is 1001 mb (29.56 inches). Ft. Pierce recently
reported a pressure of 1001.7 mb (29. 58 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Key messages for Potential Tropical Cyclone One can be found in the
Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1, WMO
header WTNT41 KNHC, and on the web at
RAINFALL: Heavy rainfall will continue to affect portions of South
Florida and the Keys through this morning, beginning to diminish
this afternoon. Heavy rainfall will continue across the
northwestern Bahamas through today. The following storm totals are
South Florida: Storm total of 6 to 10 inches with isolated maxima of
15 inches. Considerable flash and urban flooding is expected.
Florida Keys: Storm total of 4 to 8 inches with isolated maxima of
10 inches. This rain may produce flash and urban flooding.
Northwestern Bahamas: Storm total of 4 to 8 inches with maxima of 12
inches. This rain may produce flash and urban flooding.
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area
in Florida today, especially in squalls, and in the northwestern
Bahamas by this afternoon.
STORM SURGE: Storm surge could raise water levels by as much 1- 3
ft above normal tide levels in the extreme northwestern Bahamas.
Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge
and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For
information specific to your area, please see products issued by
your local National Weather Service forecast office.
TORNADOES: A couple tornadoes are possible over the southern
Florida Peninsula and Upper Keys through early afternoon.
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