TROPICAL TROUBLE: Three Systems Growing, Potential Cyclone Likely To Develop

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Florida Not In The Clear For At Least One System, But Far Too Early To Worry…

The official National Hurricane Center map shows where systems are likely to develop, but not necessarily a direction of travel. (National Hurricane Center).

BY: WEATHER TEAM | BocaNewsNow.com

BOCA RATON, FL (BocaNewsNow.com) (Copyright © 2022 MetroDesk Media, LLC) — There are three systems growing east, west, and south of Florida, with one expected to quickly become a tropical cyclone. While none are currently a threat to South Florida, two of the growing waves remain in areas that could prove problematic.

National Hurricane Center Update:

Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Tue Jun 28 2022

For the North Atlantic… Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

East of the Windward Islands: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Two, located a couple of hundred miles east of the southern Windward Islands.

  • Formation chance through 48 hours…high…70 percent.
  • Formation chance through 5 days…high…90 percent.
  1. Northern Gulf of Mexico: An area of low pressure centered over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This system is forecast to move slowly westward or west-southwestward and approach the coast of Texas during the next two days. Slow development of the low is possible, and it could become a short-lived tropical depression near the coast before it moves inland. Regardless of development, heavy rain will be possible along portions of the Texas coast later this week. For more information about the potential for heavy rain, please see products issued by your National Weather Service office.
  • Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…40 percent.
  • Formation chance through 5 days…medium…40 percent.
  1. Central Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave located over the central tropical Atlantic is producing disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms. This system is forecast to interact with another tropical wave over the next several days, and some gradual development is possible later this week while the overall system moves west-northwestward at around 15 mph across the central tropical Atlantic.
  • Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
  • Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent.

Public Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Two are issued under WMO header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2.
Forecast/Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Two are issued under WMO header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2.


Paul Saperstein


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