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All Systems East Of Florida… Above Normal Hurricane Season May Finally Be Starting…

National Hurricane Center outlook for Tuesday evening. Ovals represent a location where systems may develop, but not necessarily a direction of travel. (National Hurricane Center).


UPDATE: 8 p.m. — Easy come, easy go. There are now two tropical waves being tracked. The NHC outlook, below, represents the 8 p.m. update.

BOCA RATON, FL ( (Copyright © 2022 MetroDesk Media, LLC) — The quiet hurricane season may be quiet no more. While we stress there is absolutely no guarantee that any of the systems marked on the map above will become anything significant, the fact that there are finally systems on a map is itself somewhat significant. Forecasters have maintained all season that this will be an “above normal” hurricane season, but so far, it’s been a dud.

That may be changing now. The National Hurricane Center is still calling for 14-20 named storms, with 6-10 hurricanes, and 3-5 major hurricanes.

Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Tue Aug 23 2022

For the North Atlantic… Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

  1. East of The Windward Islands: A large area of disturbed weather is located several hundred miles east-southeast of the Windward Islands. Even though this system remains disorganized, environmental conditions could become more conducive for development in a few days while it is forecast to move across the Windward Islands and into the southeastern Caribbean Sea.
  • Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
  • Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent.
  1. Eastern Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa in a couple of days. Environmental conditions could support some slow development of this system late this week or over the weekend while it moves westward at 10 to 15 mph.
  • Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
  • Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent.


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