NHC 08-26-22 2p

FOUR TROPICAL WAVES NOW WATCHED BY HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI

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Two Remain On The Map, Two Unlikely To Develop… “Above Normal” Hurricane Season Remains Unsettlingly Quiet…

National Hurricane Center outlook map for August 26, 2022. Ovals represent areas where a system may develop, not necessarily a direction of travel. (National Hurricane Center).

BY: WEATHER TEAM | BocaNewsNow.com

UPDATED 2PM, FRIDAY, AUGUST 26, 2022.

BOCA RATON, FL (BocaNewsNow.com) (Copyright © 2022 MetroDesk Media, LLC) — The “above normal” hurricane season remains relatively quiet, raising concern over what storms may form in September. For now, two tropical waves are in areas “conducive for development” east of Florida, says the National Hurricane Center in Miami. Two additional waves are being monitored by are unlikely to grow.

The official NHC forecast maintains there will be 14-20 named storms, with 6-10 reaching hurricane status, and 3-5 reaching “major” hurricane status. Hurricane Season continues through November.

The Tropical Outlook from the National Hurricane Center follows, with the NHC’s “discussion” providing an overview of all tropical waves being monitored.

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Fri Aug 26 2022

For the North Atlantic… Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

  1. Eastern Tropical Atlantic: A broad and complex area of low pressure over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. The interaction of this feature with an approaching tropical wave could support some gradual development of the system during the early and middle parts of next week while it moves slowly westward to west-northwestward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
  • Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent.
  • Formation chance through 5 days…low…30 percent.
  1. Eastern Caribbean Sea: A trough of low pressure located over the eastern Caribbean Sea is producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions could become more conducive for slow development of this system during the early or middle part of next week while it moves generally westward at 10 to 15 mph across the central and northwestern Caribbean Sea.
  • Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
  • Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent.

… TROPICAL WAVES…

An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave has its axis near 24W, from 19N southward, moving westward about 10 to 15 knots. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is noted from 10N to 15N between 24W and 28W. Environmental conditions could support some slow development of this system through early next week while it moves westward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic at 15 to 20 mph, and There is a low chance for tropical cyclone development in the next five days.

An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave has its axis near 47W, from 20N southward, moving westward about 10 to 15 knots. There is no significant deep convection associated to this wave.

A Caribbean Sea tropical wave axis is near 70W, from 20N southward, moving westward at 10 to 15 knots. There is no significant deep convection associated to this tropical wave.

The northern extent of a tropical wave has its axis near 94W from 21N southward, moving westward at 10 to 15 knots. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is noted over the SW Gulf in association to this wave.

LOCAL JOURNALISM SUPPORTER.

Paul Saperstein

 

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