NHC 8pm august 27 2022

THREE TROPICAL WAVES NOW EAST OF FLORIDA, HURRICANE CENTER WATCHING

Boca Raton Boynton Beach Broward County Delray Beach Florida hurricane Miami Palm Beach County weather

NOW 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF DEVELOPMENT…

UPDATE 8PM, NOW FOUR WAVES

Tropical waves watched by the National Hurricane Center. We note an oval represents where a system may form, but not necessarily a direction of travel. (National Hurricane Center).

BY: WEATHER TEAM | BocaNewsNow.com

SUNDAY MORNING SIGNIFICANT UPDATE, CLICK HERE.

UPDATED 8 P.M. Saturday, August 27, 2022:

BOCA RATON, FL (BocaNewsNow.com) (Copyright © 2022 MetroDesk Media, LLC) — And just like that… the National Hurricane Center as of Saturday evening is now watching four tropical waves, one of which now has a 50 percent chance of developing into something of significance.

The following is the Saturday evening Tropical Weather Outlook from the National Hurricane Center. We are including the Tropical Weather Discussion which focuses on additional tropical waves.

Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sat Aug 27 2022

For the North Atlantic… Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

  1. Central Tropical Atlantic: Shower activity associated with an elongated area of low pressure over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean has become a little better organized since yesterday. Environmental conditions are forecast to be generally favorable for additional gradual development over the next several days, and a tropical depression could form by the middle of next week as it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph toward the waters east of the Leeward Islands.
  • Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent.
  • Formation chance through 5 days…medium…50 percent.
  1. Central Atlantic: Shower activity is showing signs of organization in association with a small low pressure area located about 600 miles east of Bermuda. Some slow development of this system could occur during the next two to three days while the low meanders over the central Atlantic. After that tine, conditions are expected to become less favorable for development.
  • Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent.
  • Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent.
  1. Northwestern Caribbean Sea: A trough of low pressure could develop over the northwestern Caribbean Sea during the early or middle part of next week. Environmental conditions could support some slow development of the system thereafter while it moves generally west-northwestward over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and toward the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
  • Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent.
  1. Eastern Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa early next week. Some gradual development of the system is possible during the middle of next week while it moves generally westward across the far eastern tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
  • Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent.

… TROPICAL WAVES…

An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave has its axis near 39W, from 18N southward, moving westward about 10-15 knots. Scattered moderate convection is from 13N to 17N between 40W and 44W. The latest scatterometer data indicates fresh NE winds from 16N to 20N between 36W and 42W. Environmental conditions are forecast to be generally favorable for some gradual development of this system over the next several days, and a tropical depression could form by the middle of next week as it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 kt toward the waters east of the Leeward Islands. The chance of formation is low through 48 hours and medium through five days.

An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave has its axis near 54W, from 20N southward, moving westward about 10-15 knots. There is no significant convection in the vicinity of this wave.

A Caribbean Sea tropical wave has its axis near 77W, from 22N southward, moving westward 10-15 knots. Scattered showers are noted in the SW Caribbean.

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