TROPICAL WAVES EAST OF FLORIDA: TROPICAL DEPRESSION EXPECTED

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One With 80 Percent Chance Of Development… Another Now Showing 30 Percent Chance Of Growth…

National Hurricane Center Monday Afternoon update. (National Hurricane Center).

BY: WEATHER TEAM | BocaNewsNow.com

2PM UPDATE – AUGUST 29, 2022

BOCA RATON, FL (BocaNewsNow.com) (Copyright © 2022 MetroDesk Media, LLC) — The afternoon update from the National Hurricane Center shows that one tropical wave east of Florida remains likely to develop into a tropical depression within days, while another is now elevated to a 30 percent chance of development.

From the National Hurricane Center:

Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Mon Aug 29 2022

For the North Atlantic… Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

  1. Central Tropical Atlantic: A broad area of low pressure over the central tropical Atlantic is producing a large area of disorganized cloudiness and showers.
    Although environmental conditions are only marginally conducive, some gradual development of this system is expected over the next several days and a tropical depression is likely to form later this week. The disturbance is forecast to move slowly toward the west and then west-northwest at 5 to 10 mph, toward the adjacent waters of the northern Leeward Islands. Additional information on this system can be found in high seas forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…50 percent.
  • Formation chance through 5 days…high…80 percent.
  1. Central Subtropical Atlantic: A small low pressure system located about 600 miles east of Bermuda continues to produce limited shower activity. Strong upper-level winds and dry air are expected to limit significant development of this system while it drifts southward and southwestward over the central Atlantic during the next couple of days, and likely dissipate by the end of the week.
  • Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent.
  • Formation chance through 5 days…low…10 percent.
  1. Eastern Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa this evening or early Tuesday. Some gradual development of this system is possible after that time while it moves generally westward to west-northwestward across the far eastern tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent.
  • Formation chance through 5 days…low…30 percent.
  1. Northwestern Caribbean Sea: A trough of low pressure could develop over the northwestern Caribbean Sea later this week. Environmental conditions could support some slow development of the system thereafter while it moves generally west-northwestward over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and toward the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
  • Formation chance through 5 days…low…10 percent.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

LOCAL JOURNALISM SUPPORTER.

Paul Saperstein

 

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