GASTON? New Tropical Depression Likely In Days, Will Be “Gaston” If Tropical Storm

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East Of Florida, Earl Churns, Gaston May Be Born, Will It Be a Beauty Or A Beast?!

And… Another Wave Set To Enter Atlantic…

The National Hurricane Center is watching four systems, three east of Florida.


BOCA RATON, FL ( (Copyright © 2022 MetroDesk Media, LLC) (UPDATED AT 5 p.m.) — There are now four systems being watched closely by the National Hurricane Center, with two hurricanes, a system that may soon become Gaston, and a tropical wave that’s expected to be on the move.

Earl and Danielle, now both hurricanes, are not expected to impact the U.S. Mainland. Danielle remains in the North Atlantic, while Earl is well off Florida’s coast and heading northeast. While it seems that anything could happen in 2022, it’s beyond unlikely that the system will change course and head for the U.S.

There is now a 70 percent chance that the red “x” you see above will become a tropical depression by Friday. That could become “Gaston” if it increases to Tropical Storm strength. The system is expected to head in a west-northwestward direction. And the yellow X is expected to roll off the African coast in the next day or two. It’s too soon to fully predict steering currents so check back. That yellow X has a 30 percent chance for formation over the next five days.

Here is the Wednesday afternoon Tropical Weather Outlook from the National Hurricane Center.

Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Wed Sep 7 2022

For the North Atlantic… Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Danielle, located several hundred miles northwest of the Azores, and on Hurricane Earl, located several hundred miles south of Bermuda.

  1. Eastern Tropical Atlantic: Satellite imagery indicates that the area of low pressure located several hundred miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands is gradually becoming better defined. However, the associated shower and thunderstorm activity still remains disorganized. Environmental conditions appear conducive for additional development of this system over the next day or two, and a tropical depression is likely form by Friday while it moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph over the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. After that time, upper-level winds are forecast to become less conducive for development.
  • Formation chance through 48 hours…high…70 percent.
  • Formation chance through 5 days…high…70 percent.
  1. African Coast: A tropical wave currently located near the west African coast is forecast to emerge offshore into the eastern Atlantic over the next day or so. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some gradual development thereafter as the system moves west-northwestward over the eastern tropical Atlantic.
  • Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
  • Formation chance through 5 days…low…30 percent.


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