NEW TROPICAL WAVE: Tropics Busy Again East Of Florida After Brief Nap

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Hurricane Center Watching Multiple Systems…Again…

Three waves and Hurricane Earl. (National Hurricane Center Friday morning).


BOCA RATON, FL ( (Copyright © 2022 MetroDesk Media, LLC) — A lot changes in just a few hours. We reported this morning that things were calming down — at least temporarily — in the tropics. That was short-lived. A new wave is developing and being watched closely by the National Hurricane Center.

Here is the mid-Friday morning Tropical Outlook:

Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Earl, located a couple of hundred miles east-northeast of Bermuda.

  1. Central Tropical Atlantic: A gale-force low pressure system is located about 1100 miles east of the Leeward Islands. Although the low has a well-defined center of circulation, strong upper-level winds have caused most of the disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity associated with the low to be displaced well to its northeast. The strong upper-level winds are forecast to persist for the next several days and it is becoming less likely that a short-lived tropical storm will form. Regardless of development, the disturbance is forecast to move generally west-northwestward near 15 mph across the central subtropical Atlantic. For more information on this system, including gale warnings, please refer to the High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
  • Formation chance through 48 hours…low…30 percent.
  • Formation chance through 5 days…low…30 percent.
  1. Eastern Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave located several hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms. Development of this system, if any, is expected to be slow to occur while it moves westward or west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic through the middle of next week.
  • Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
  • Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent.
  1. Near the Coast of Africa: Another tropical wave is forecast to move off the coast of Africa by early next week. Some gradual development of the wave will be possible after it moves over water and heads generally westward over the far eastern Atlantic.
  • Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
  • Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent.


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