Tropical wave florida

IS NEW TROPICAL WAVE FOLLOWING HURRICANE IAN’S PATH?

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VERY EARLY…DON’T PANIC…BUT NOTE POTENTIAL DIRECTION OF NEW WAVE EAST OF FLORIDA…

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BY: WEATHER TEAM | BocaNewsNow.com

UPDATE: Read the latest forecast update at BocaNewsNow.com.

BOCA RATON, FL (BocaNewsNow.com) (Copyright © 2022 MetroDesk Media, LLC) — We stress that there is no reason to panic at this point, but we also note that it’s difficult to not have flashbacks to a little more than a week ago when you look at the potential path of the tropical wave marked by a “yellow X,” above.

While the National Hurricane Center reminds everyone that an oval indicates where a system may form, and not necessarily a direction of travel, it’s difficult to separate the two when you look at the area covered by the oval. Tracking only starts when a tropical depression forms. Even five days out, the National Hurricane Center says there’s only a 30 percent chance that will happen. Even so, this is clearly a system that South Florida, the Gulf Coast, and Texas will watch closely.

Here is the late Sunday afternoon update from the NHC:

Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sun Oct 2 2022

For the North Atlantic… Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

  1. Eastern Tropical Atlantic: An elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to be favorable for some gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form around the middle part of this week. The system is forecast to move westward, then turn northwestward or northward by the end of the week over the eastern tropical Atlantic.
  • Formation chance through 48 hours…low…30 percent.
  • Formation chance through 5 days…high…70 percent.
  1. Central Tropical Atlantic: Disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity continues in association with a tropical wave located several hundred miles east of the Windward Islands. Some gradual development of the wave is possible during the next few days while it moves generally westward at 15 to 20 mph, reaching the Windward Islands and the eastern Caribbean Sea by midweek.
  • Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent.
  • Formation chance through 5 days…low…30 percent.

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