BY: WEATHER TEAM | BocaNewsNow.com
BOCA RATON, FL (BocaNewsNow.com) (Copyright © 2022 MetroDesk Media, LLC) — That new tropical wave that seems to be following in the footsteps of Hurricane Ian is still, well, following in the footsteps of Hurricane Ian. But its development remains slow, and the area for development is now in a larger oval than earlier today.
The takeaway: still don’t panic, but be aware of the system, where it might become a tropical depression, and what could happen when it does.
Here is the Monday afternoon update from the National Hurricane Center:
Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Mon Oct 3 2022
For the North Atlantic… Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
- Eastern Tropical Atlantic: Showers and thunderstorms have increased today in association with an area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form in a day or two. Further development will become less likely late this week due to increasing upper-level winds. The system is forecast to move west-northwestward and then turn northwestward by mid-week over the eastern tropical Atlantic.
- Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…60 percent.
- Formation chance through 5 days…high…70 percent.
- East of the Windward Islands: Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located several hundred miles east of the southern Windward Islands have changed little in organization during the last several hours. Slow development is possible during the next several days while the wave moves generally westward at 15 to 20 mph, reaching the Windward Islands and the eastern Caribbean Sea by midweek. Interests in the Windward Islands should monitor the progress of the system.
- Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent.
- Formation chance through 5 days…low…30 percent.
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