HURRICANE CENTER: Two Systems Developing, One In Similar Zone To Hurricane Ian

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BY: WEATHER TEAM | BocaNewsNow.com

BOCA RATON, FL (BocaNewsNow.com) (Copyright © 2022 MetroDesk Media, LLC) — Two systems are developing as the Atlantic Hurricane Season enters its final month, and one of those systems has a 50-percent chance of becoming a Tropical Depression over the next five days.

This is the afternoon Tropical Outlook from the National Hurricane Center.

For the North Atlantic… Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

  1. Southwestern Atlantic: Recent satellite-derived wind data indicate a trough of low pressure extends over the southwestern Atlantic Ocean, and it continues to produce a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. A surface low pressure system is forecast to emerge along the northern portion of the trough axis tonight, and a subtropical depression could form during the next day or so while the system moves northward over the western Atlantic. By late Saturday, upper-level winds are forecast to become less conducive for development, and the low is expected to begin interacting with an approaching frontal system.
  • Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…40 percent.
  • Formation chance through 5 days…medium…40 percent.
  1. Eastern Caribbean: An area of low pressure is expected to form over the eastern Caribbean Sea this weekend, possibly related to the southern portion of an existing trough of low pressure over the area. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression could form early next week while the disturbance moves generally westward or west-northwestward over the central Caribbean Sea.
  • Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
  • Formation chance through 5 days…medium…50 percent.


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