National Hurricane Center National Hurricane Center map for Saturday, October 29th. The ovals indicate where a tropical depression may form, but not necessarily a direction of travel.

HURRICANE CENTER: NOW 70 PERCENT CHANCE DEPRESSION FORMS SOUTH OF FLORIDA

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LOCATION VERY SIMILAR TO HURRICANE IAN… EXPECT FORMATION SOON…

National Hurricane Center
National Hurricane Center map for Saturday, October 29th. The ovals indicate where a tropical depression may form, but not necessarily a direction of travel.

BY: WEATHER TEAM | BocaNewsNow.com

BOCA RATON, FL (BocaNewsNow.com) (Copyright © 2022 MetroDesk Media, LLC) — The National Hurricane Center is closely watching a tropical wave that is expected to become a tropical depression within the next five days. While it is still too early to accurately predict where the depression may go — or how strong it may become — the formation location is notable. It is very similar to the location where Hurricane Ian formed before moving into the Gulf.

The following is the afternoon update from the National Hurricane Center for Saturday, October 29, 2022.

Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sat Oct 29 2022 For the North Atlantic… Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

  1. Central Caribbean: A broad area of low pressure over the central Caribbean Sea continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development over the next few days, and a tropical depression is likely to form by early next week while the disturbance moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the central Caribbean Sea. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is currently investigating the disturbance.

Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible over portions of the Lesser Antilles, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico through this weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days…high…70 percent.

  1. Western Atlantic: A low pressure area located about 100 miles west-northwest of Bermuda is producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity to the north of the center as it continues to interact with a nearby frontal system. Upper-level winds are forecast to increase over the system tonight, and the low is forecast to merge with the front by early Sunday.

Therefore, the chances of subtropical development of this system appear to be decreasing.

  • Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days…low…10 percent.

LOCAL JOURNALISM SUPPORTER.

Paul Saperstein

 

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