HURRICANE CENTER: System Developing Closer To South Florida

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National Hurricane Center tropical outlook map for Friday, November 4th, at 2 p.m. (NHC)

BY: STAFF REPORT | BocaNewsNow.com

BOCA RATON, FL (BocaNewsNow.com) (Copyright © 2022 MetroDesk Media, LLC) — A developing system off the southeast coast of Florida is as bizarre as it is potentially troubling. There is now a 40 percent chance that the system marked by orange oval on the map, above, becomes a tropical depression within the next five days.

It is still too early to know what the potential syste may do after it develops, but the proximity of the orange oval to South Florida is notable. We remind our readers that an oval shows where a system may develop, but not necessarily a direction of travel.

This is the NHC outlook for late Friday afternoon.

A large non-tropical low pressure system is expected to develop across the northeastern Caribbean Sea and southwestern Atlantic by the latter part of the weekend. The system is initially expected be very broad and disorganized, but it could begin to acquire subtropical or tropical characteristics during the early part next week.

Environmental conditions could support additional gradual development and a subtropical or tropical depression could form during the early to middle portion of next week while the system moves generally northwestward or westward over the southwestern Atlantic.

Regardless of development, there is an increasing risk of coastal flooding, gale-force winds, heavy rainfall, rough surf, and beach erosion along much of the southeastern United States coast, the Florida east coast, and portions of the central and northwestern Bahamas during the early to middle part of next week.

  • Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
  • Formation chance through 5 days…medium…40 percent.


Paul Saperstein


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