National Hurricane Center Prediction Is On Upper End Of Other Forecasts…
BY: WEATHER TEAM | BocaNewsNow.com
BOCA RATON, FL (BocaNewsNow.com) (Copyright © 2024 MetroDesk Media, LLC) — The National Hurricane Center says it’s likely going to be a very bad hurricane season. How bad? So bad that it’s possible that we will work all the way through the alphabet this year when the season gets up and running.
According to the National Hurricane Center, there will be between 17-25 named storms, with 8-13 hurricanes, with 4-7 of those becoming major hurricanes over the course of the season. There is an 85 percent chance that this is an “above normal season.” This is the most intense prediction from the National Hurricane Center since 2010 when the expectation was 14-23 named storms.
The prediction is on the upper end of the prediction released by Colorado State University which has a very good track record of prediction versus reality. CSU predicts 23 named storms with 11 becoming hurricanes and 5 becoming major hurricanes.
Over the 30 years between 1991 and 2020, the average storm count is 14 named storms, with 7 hurricanes, and 3 major hurricanes.
We note that the predictions encompass the entire Atlantic hurricane area, not just Florida. The Atlantic Hurricane Season starts on June 1st and runs through the end of November. The busiest time tends to be in late August and early September.
The first names for the year: Alberto, Beryl, Chris, Debby, Ernesto, Francine, and Gordon.
