HURRICANE CENTER: Four Tropical Waves East, Southeast Of Florida

BOCA RATON, FL (BocaNewsNow.com) (Copyright © 2026 MetroDesk Media, LLC) — The National Hurricane Center Monday is following four tropical waves with varied levels of of convection. Two are east of Florida, two are southeast. None have developed yet to the point of being marked on the official NHC map. Here is the official Monday update:

Tropical Waves

A tropical wave is in the E Atlantic with axis across the Cabo Verde Islands near 25W, extending from 09N to 18N, and moving W at 10-15 kt. Isolated clusters of moderate convection are noted near the wave.

An Atlantic tropical wave is along 54W, extending from 09N to 21N, and moving W at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is along the southern end of the wave from 05N to 09N between 52W and 57W, and across the N end of the wave from 16N to 21N between 57W and 61W.

A tropical wave is in the central Caribbean with axis along 71W southward from 18N into Venezuela, and moving W at 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is observed S of 12.5N near the wave axis.

A tropical wave is in the SW Caribbean with axis near 78W, from 18N southward to E Panama, and moving W at 15 kt. Widely scattered moderate convection is noted S of 14.5N between 78W and 82.5W.

Monsoon Trough/ITCZ

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 14.5N17W and continues to 11N39W. The ITCZ extends from 11.5N40W to 06N57.5W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is along the coast of Africa from 05.5N to 13.5N E of 19W. Similar convection is present from 08N to 11.5N between 29W and 36W, and from 08N to 12.5N between 45W and 51W.

Gulf of Mexico

An upper level trough along the eastern seaboard of the U.S. extends southwestward to northern Florida, and supports a surface trough across the NE Gulf along 29.5N into the Florida Big Bend. Scattered showers and an isolated thunderstorms area south of this surface trough and along the W coast. Narrow lines of moderate convection extend SW to NE across the Straits of Florida. Scattered moderate convection is noted across the SW Bay of Campeche, ahead of the Yucatan trough shifting westward off the peninsula. High pressure of 1017 mb is centered near 25N88W and is supporting light to gentle variable winds, except gentle to moderate W to NW winds along the northern Gulf coastal and immediate offshore waters. Moderate to locally fresh E winds are also ongoing in the Bay of Campeche associated with a surface trough that is coming off the Yucatan peninsula. Seas are 3 to 4 ft ahead of this Yucatan trough, and 3 ft or less elsewhere.

For the forecast, high pressure will meander about the central Gulf and weaken through Wed, leading to gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas. The high will then reorganize over the SE Gulf Thu through Fri. Pulsing fresh NE to E winds are likely each afternoon and evening along and just north of the Yucatan Peninsula as a trough develops daily and drifts westward. Looking ahead, showers and thunderstorms are expected to become active across the NE Gulf Wed afternoon through Thu as a frontal boundary sinks to just N of the area.

Caribbean Sea

The Atlantic ridge extends westward along 24N-25N, to the north of the basin, and is supporting only fresh trade winds and seas of 5-7 ft across the central Caribbean S of 16N. Moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas prevail elsewhere. An upper level low is centered just N of the Virgin Islands, and supporting convection described above over the Atlantic, just ahead of an approaching tropical wave. Scattered heavy showers area across much of the NE Caribbean E of 67W.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the western Atlantic ridge along 24N-25N and the Colombian low will support fresh to locally strong trade winds with moderate to locally rough seas across the south-central Caribbean S of 15N through Tue, with fresh winds in the Gulf of Honduras. The ridge will strengthen N of the basin Tue night through Fri, leading to increasing winds and seas across central and west-central portions.

Atlantic Ocean

A surface ridge extending from a 1024 mb center of high pressure near 32N42W extends southwestward to near 25N67W, and then westward to the Straits of Florida. To the N of 27N and west of 67W, scattered moderate isolated strong convection is occurring ahead of a stalling cold front along 31.5N and offshore of the Carolinas. Moderate to locally fresh SW to S winds prevail ahead of the front are moderate to fresh from the SW extending to 63W and N of 27N. Elsewhere N of 22N and W of 40W, moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas prevail. Across the tropical Atlantic S of 22N moderate to locally fresh trade winds prevail, with seas of 4-7 ft. 1024 mb high pressure near the Azores is promoting moderate to fresh NE to E winds from the Canary Islands to 40W, where seas are 6 to 8 ft.

For the forecast west of 55W, the current ridge in place from the Central Atlantic to the Straits of Florida will persist through Tue. Expect fresh to strong SW winds and moderate to rough seas across the northern waters, mainly N of 28N, most of the week as sinking frontal boundaries remain just to the north of area. The Atlantic ridge will building modestly westward and into the central Bahamas Tue night through Fri.

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