FORMATION CHANCE NOW 70 PERCENT…
BOCA RATON, FL (BocaNewsNow.com) (Copyright © 2026 MetroDesk Media, LLC) — The first system that needs watching this season is the system marked by the red oval on the official map, above. It is southeast of Florida and may track northwest — towards Florida — IF it becomes anything that requires tracking. There is now a 70 percent chance that that tropical wave turns into a tropical depression later this week. Here is the Monday evening update from the National Hurricane Center:
Central Tropical Atlantic
An area of low pressure located about 500 miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to gradually become more conducive for development during the next day or two, and a tropical depression will likely form during the latter half of this week while the system moves westward to west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic.
- Formation chance through 48 hours…low…30 percent.
- Formation chance through 7 days…high…70 percent.
East of the Windward Islands
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave are located about 900 miles east of the Windward Islands. Some gradual development of this system is possible through midweek while it moves quickly westward across the central tropical Atlantic. Environmental conditions are expected to become less favorable for development later this week as the system nears the Lesser Antilles.
- Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent.
- Formation chance through 7 days…low…10 percent.
Central Subtropical Atlantic
A trough of low pressure located a few hundred miles northeast of Bermuda is producing a small area of shower and thunderstorm activity. Some development of this system is possible during the next couple of days while it moves quickly eastward across the central subtropical Atlantic. The system is forecast to reach cooler waters later this week, ending its chances of formation by Thursday.
- Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent.
- Formation chance through 7 days…low…10 percent.
BocaNewsNow.com changes all “Gulf Of America” references to “Gulf of Mexico,” the internationally accepted name. We do however acknowledge that some people in some places do believe that an American president has the power to rename bodies of water.
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