Tropical Storm Hanna Is Born, Tropical Depression Fay Is Dying

Systems Are East Of Florida. Unlikely To Cause Any Issues For Anyone.

BOCA RATON, FL (BocaNewsNow.com) (Copyright © 2026 MetroDesk Media, LLC) — A storm is born, another is dying. Welcome to the Monday update from the National Hurricane Center.

Tropical Storm Hanna Discussion Number 1

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL082026
1100 AM AST Mon Sep 28 2026

Recent scatterometer data shows that the disturbance that NHC has been tracking over the central subtropical Atlantic has acquired a well-defined surface circulation and center. Despite significant westerly shear the system has maintained an area of deep convection to the east of the center, and the scatterometer data revealed peak winds of 35 to 40 kt to the southeast of the center. As a result of this data, the system is being upgraded to 40-kt tropical storm Hanna at this time.

The shear over the tropical storm is expected to remain strong out of the west-northwest for the next several days, so little, if any, strengthening is anticipated. In a couple of days, the shear and dry mid-level air are likely to cause weakening. Simulated satellite imagery from the global models indicated the deep convection is likely to cease in about 60 hours, therefore the NHC forecast calls for it to become a remnant low at that time.

Hanna is moving eastward at about 15 kt. An eastward to east-southeastward motion is forecast during the next 24 hours as the system is embedded along the southern side of the mid-latitude westerlies. After that time, the westerlies lift northward and the steering flow will weaken, causing the system to slow down and turn east-northeastward. The NHC track forecast is close to the HCCA and GDMI models which are along the southern side of the model envelope.

Forecast Positions And Max Winds

INIT  28/1500Z 36.6N  50.4W   40 KT  45 MPH
 12H  29/0000Z 36.1N  47.7W   40 KT  45 MPH
 24H  29/1200Z 34.8N  45.1W   40 KT  45 MPH
 36H  30/0000Z 33.9N  43.8W   40 KT  45 MPH
 48H  30/1200Z 33.9N  43.3W   35 KT  40 MPH
 60H  01/0000Z 34.4N  42.4W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  01/1200Z 35.3N  40.7W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 96H  02/1200Z...DISSIPATED

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Tropical Depression Fay Discussion Number 34

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062026
300 PM GMT Mon Sep 28 2026

Fay continues to produce bursts of deep convection, mainly to the south of the low-level center. A recent ASCAT-B scatterometer pass indicated the highest reliable satellite-derived surface winds were around 25-30 kt, which is in good agreement with the TAFB subjective Dvorak intensity estimate of T2.0/30 kt. Although some of the UW-CIMSS objective intensity estimates are higher, the initial intensity is held at 30 kt, leaning toward the scatterometer data.

The initial motion is estimated to be south-southwestward, or 210/8 kt. Fay should continue to move south-southwestward to southwestward along the southern periphery of a subtropical ridge located over the central Atlantic. Track guidance is in fairly good agreement on this general motion, with the primary differences being in the along-track spread. The latest NHC track forecast is slightly faster than the previous advisory and lies near the HCCA corrected-consensus aid.

Fay has maintained persistent convection near the low-level center within a favorable environment over warm sea surface temperatures, low vertical wind shear, and abundant mid-level moisture. It is possible Fay could regain tropical storm strength. However, this favorable environment is expected to be short-lived. Global models continue to show the system will struggle to produce deep convection in a day or so as it encounters a more stable air mass and convergence aloft. The latest NHC intensity forecast is similar to the previous one, showing the system dissipating late Tuesday and degenerating into a surface trough shortly thereafter.

Forecast Positions And Max Winds

INIT  28/1500Z 27.1N  44.6W   30 KT  35 MPH
 12H  29/0000Z 26.0N  45.5W   30 KT  35 MPH
 24H  29/1200Z 24.6N  47.2W   30 KT  35 MPH
 36H  30/0000Z 23.4N  48.9W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  30/1200Z 23.1N  50.9W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 60H  01/0000Z...DISSIPATED

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