EAST OF FLORIDA, WAVE SHOWING INCREASED PROBABILITY OF GROWTH.
BY: WEATHER TEAM | BocaNewsNow.com
SIGNIFICANT UPDATE AT 4:10 p.m. August 27, 2022: CLICK HERE for the latest.
BOCA RATON, FL (BocaNewsNow.com) (Copyright © 2022 MetroDesk Media, LLC) — There is still nothing to fear at this point, but one of the tropical waves being watched on the map above now has a 30 percent chance of development. Its growth chance was 20 percent on Friday. The National Hurricane Center is watching two waves which have reached map status, and others which are not— at this point — worthy of tracking.
We start with the Tropical Outlook for Saturday from the National Hurricane Center. We have added part of the “Tropical Discission” which includes the additional waves.
Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sat Aug 27 2022
For the North Atlantic… Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
- Central Tropical Atlantic: A broad and complex area of low pressure over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. The interaction of this feature with an approaching tropical wave could support some gradual development of the system during the early and middle parts of next week while it moves westward to west-northwestward at about 10 mph across the central tropical Atlantic.
- Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent.
- Formation chance through 5 days…low…30 percent.
- Eastern Caribbean Sea: A trough of low pressure located over the eastern Caribbean Sea is producing minimal shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions could become more conducive for slow development of this system during the early or middle part of next week while it moves generally westward at 10 to 15 mph across the central and northwestern Caribbean Sea.
- Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
- Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent.
… TROPICAL WAVES…
An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave has its axis near 33W, from 19N southward, moving westward about 10 knots. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 07N to 16N between 31W and 40W. Some gradual development of the system is possible during the early and middle parts of next week while it moves westward to west- northwestward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
There is a low chance for tropical cyclone development in the next five days.
An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave has its axis near 52W, from 20N southward, moving westward about 10 knots. There is no significant deep convection in the vicinity of this wave.
A Caribbean Sea tropical wave has its axis near 75W, from 22N southward, moving westward 10 knots. Scattered moderate convection is noted within 60 nm west of the wave axis south of 12N.
