National hurricane center

HURRICANE CENTER: Off Florida, Disturbance Has 60 Percent Chance Of Formation

Florida hurricane News Palm Beach County weather
National Hurricane Center map for early Monday morning, August 9, 2021.



BOCA RATON, FL ( (Copyright © 2021 MetroDesk Media, LLC) — It’s still too early to know what the systems churning in the Atlantic — east of Florida — will do, but Meteorologists at the National Hurricane Center say one of those systems now has a 60 percent chance of becoming a Tropical Depression over the next few days.

The system is marked by the “orange x” in the map, above. We remind our readers that the ovals you see indicate where a system may form into a tropical depression, not necessarily a direction of travel.

This is the early Monday update from the National Hurricane Center:

  1. A low pressure system located about 380 miles east-southeast of the
    Leeward Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
    Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for some
    development over the next few days, and a tropical depression could
    form while the low moves west-northwestward at about 15 mph. The
    disturbance is forecast to reach portions of the Lesser Antilles by
    late tonight, then move near the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on
    Tuesday, and be near Hispaniola around the middle of this week.
    Tropical storm watches or warnings could be required with
    shorter-than-normal lead times for portions of the Leeward Islands,
    the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico. In addition, heavy rains and
    flooding are likely for the Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands, and
    Puerto Rico. Interests in those areas should monitor the progress
    of this system.
  • Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…50 percent.
  • Formation chance through 5 days…medium…60 percent.
  1. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms have changed little in
    association with an elongated low pressure area located about 1000
    miles east of the Lesser Antilles. Development of this system is
    becoming less likely during the next few days while it moves toward
    the west or west-southwest at around 10 mph.
  • Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent.
  • Formation chance through 5 days…low…30 percent.

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